LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7
The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays match with announcement successes.
LSU went to Texas and beat the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, the two teams seem to take a place in the race more than into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and havent given up a point in the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into creating bad decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the greatest offensive launching in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college football. This includes the 45 they dumped on the road on Texas.
As underdogs on BetNow , the Gators come in Together with the roar of all Death Valley anticipating. Can the No. 5 grading defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow as well as win the wager up and the No. 2 passing offense keep rolling? Here is the full breakdown.
Theres very little uncertainty in Burrows skill anymore. Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, obtaining a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some big games. Chase is a physical presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned goal that will fill the place. Its all a part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face undoubtedly the DB unit they have played with . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by LSU opponents: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida currently sits in 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to play with a QB of Burrows caliber. They have played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis generates a ton of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but nevertheless has a ceiling.
Burrow will also face a, which will be healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami over the opening week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While the newest QB must improve his awareness from the pocket, then he has to get flustered with an opposing line. Auburns according ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards, and is the best in the nation to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and can be 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and sprained a knee.
With the LBs more involved in the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to come up big in policy. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is considered DBU for the talent they have on the outside of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances that should land him on the All-Freshman team, if not longer, in 2019.
Would soon be Kristian Fulton, that allowed the least amount of downs this past year out of returning FBS corners. It will be given an opportunity against a driven Trask Although this group is in passing yards allowed per-game 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, who hasnt got their running game this season going yet. Last weekend broke a tackle at the point on his way. Despite this, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and is going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be strong. But Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the floor, and thats like Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed out the Kentucky match.
It places ways too much pressure on Trask in a hostile atmosphere, Should they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going frequently.
Florida has earned admiration from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out with a win against LSU from Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining most.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is just one of the more smart QBs from the FBS. But LSU isnt likely to put up 45 or anything near this against a defense whos known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has completely developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will probably work out with time, as the team has relied on them. Marco Wilson will be the subject from Jefferson or the Chase.
However, I do not anticipate this. Keeping the match in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the suitable bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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