LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers both come into this Saturdays game.
LSU defeat against the Longhorns and went to Texas. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup at Death Valley, both teams seem to take a spot in the race more than .
Floridas defense leads the solution in their opinion. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. They flustered Auburn QB Bo Nix into creating several decisions as he went 11 with three INTs.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU to the best launch in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the maximum in college soccer. This contains the 45 they dropped on the street on Texas.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow , the Gators come in Together with Death Valley awaitings roar. Can the No. 5 scoring defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will Burrow and also the No. 2 passing crime keep rolling and also win the bet? Heres the full breakdown.
There is hardly any doubt in the skill of Burrow . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, acquiring an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with one of the best receiving groups in the country. The trio of all JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, also Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages above 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a physical existence on the opposing side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, however, Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that will fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the DB unit they have played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS team, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by LSUs other opponents: Vanderbilt 128th, Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida now sits at 33rd, though its safe to say they have yet to play a QB of all the standard of Burrow. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson was preseason All-American who is living up to his billing. Shawn Davis generates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 yards on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on spot, but nevertheless has a high ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will face a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami on the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, believed to be their very best is coming back from injury. With him on both side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) across the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line is going to be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered by an opposing defensive lineup Even though his awareness need to enhance in the pocket. Auburns according is the finest in the nation, and ranks 11th in defensive lineup yards to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st at LY and will be 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. The Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not mobile outside of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and sprained a knee in the match.
With the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, if not more, in 2019.
Will probably soon be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, who enabled the smallest sum of downs. Although this group is presently in passing yards allowed per-game 69th, it will be a force if given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, that has not got their running game this season, going yet. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his way to an 88-yard TD run . Even with that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th in line yards and also is currently going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy success (short-yardage scenarios ).
While the LSU front might not be powerful. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and that is like Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed out the Kentucky game.
It places a lot of strain on Trask in a hostile environment, if they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned admiration after last week from the college football world. And while I do not expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this sport remaining than many.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or something close to this against a defense who is proven at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has completely evolved with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will probably work out over time, as the staff has relied upon them much too much to change the tide in games. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject from the physiological Chase or Jefferson into a PIs.
However, I do not anticipate this until late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the proper bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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